Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)


	Jong Ajax		Roda

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.9	2.01	Watch
	3.20	3.60	1.98
	3.15	3.6	2.08	Watch
	3.17	3.85	2.12
	3.16	4.03	2.01	Watch
	3.15	3.8	2.06
	3.09	3.89	2.05	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.86)	3.8 ↑ (3.68)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
29.9%

Draw
24.5%

Roda
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Jong Ajax - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Roda will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%). Roda (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Setford C. (G) 2. van de Pavert R. 3. Spina G. 4. Muzungu M. 5. Zahouani F. 6. Verkuijl M. (C) 8. Abdalla M. 7. Simeon J. 10. Monserrate J. 11. Nash P. 9. Unuvar E.	1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. (C) 15. Beerten L. 17. Peixoto G. 11. Dorenbosch D. 4. Nisbet J. 5. Jansen K. 8. Mensah J. 10. Schenten F. 26. Sleegers J.
Substitutes
22. Acheampong L. 16. Appiah A. 20. Camara A. 24. Da Silva P. 19. de Falco S. 12. El Hani A. (G) 18. Johnson J. 23. Moumane A. 21. Peters T. 25. Salazar L. 17. van der Lans M. 30. van der Velde V. (G)	20. Bentoumi M. 19. Crabu N. 24. Deom J. 32. Maoujoudi N. 25. Marsman B. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G) 14. van den Berg X. 27. Van Mieghem K. 2. Verheij L.
Coaches
Garcia C.	Penders R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Zahouani F. 🟨,
13', Verkuijl M. 🟨,
17', Van den Buijs D. 🟨,
44', Verkuijl M. ↓, Peters T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Schenten F. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
46', Mensah J. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
48', van de Pavert R. 🟨,
55', Peixoto G. ↓, van den Berg X. ↑,
60', Unuvar E. ↓, Salazar L. ↑,
60', Simeon J. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
80', Sleegers J. ↓, Bentoumi M. ↑,
86', Zahouani F. ↓, de Falco S. ↑,
86', van de Pavert R. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
88', Nisbet J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
90+2', Dorenbosch D. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 7th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.

Jong Ajax has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Roda shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Roda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Roda is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Jong Ajax: Bouwman A. (Injury) Faberski J. (Knee Injury) Heerkens J. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Jong Ajax has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:30 (averaging 1.7:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jong Ajax against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:15 goals (averaging 2.1:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87% Jong Ajax: 0.25%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8

Last Results with these Odds

Jong Ajax - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.09.26	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	6:1 ✺
11.09.26	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Almere City - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWTW
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.09.26	Roda - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Roda - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Dordrecht - Roda	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.01.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	2:2
12.09.25	Roda - Jong Ajax	3:3
23.12.24	Jong Ajax - Roda	3:1
25.10.24	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1
26.04.24	Jong Ajax - Roda	1:1
27.10.23	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1
23.01.23	Jong Ajax - Roda	1:2

Jong Ajax - Roda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide