Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Zwolle		Almere City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.75	Watch
	2	3.6	3.6
	1.98	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2	3.72	3.84
	2	3.66	3.62	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.97	3.72	3.62	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.9)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	3.64 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
48%

Draw
25.9%

Almere City
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

22.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Zwolle - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schendelaar J. (G) 2. Floranus S. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 33. van der Haar D. 10. Van Den Berg D. 6. El Azzouzi A. 7. Namli Y. (C) 35. Monteiro J. 50. Krastev F. 9. Vente D.	1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 4. Visus R. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 19. Haye T. 8. Tahiri A. 17. Hansen K. 9. Robinet T. (C) 11. Kadile J. 21. Guillaume B.
Substitutes
29. Buitink T. 22. de Rooij K. 34. Fichtinger N. 40. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 5. Lutonda T. 11. Mbayo D. 37. Oukhattou M. 23. Reijnders E. 30. Thomas R. 18. Velanas O. 25. Vermeer K. (G)	23. Balboa A. 22. Barbet T. 6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 3. Jacobs Jo. 24. Mattoir F. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)
Coaches
Jansen J.	Maduro H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hansen K. ↓, Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↑,
46', Guillaume B. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
58', Krastev F. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
66', Haye T. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
69', Van Den Berg D. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
70', Namli Y. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
71', Robinet T. 🟨,
73', Akujobi H. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Lawrence J. (Own goal),
82', Tahiri A. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
83', Providence R. 🟨,
85', Visus R. 🟨,
86', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
88', Graves S. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
90', Vente D. 🟨,
90+4', Visus R. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Zwolle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zwolle will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Knee Injury) Manu B. M. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.24	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Zwolle - Heracles Almelo	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Zwolle - Feyenoord	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWLL
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
22.09.24	Almere City - Twente	0:5 ✺
15.09.24	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Almere City	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.08.24	Almere City - Groningen	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Almere City - PSV Eindhoven	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.02.24	Zwolle - Almere City	0:1
02.09.23	Almere City - Zwolle	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.04.23	Almere City - Zwolle	1:1
06.01.23	Zwolle - Almere City	3:2
Club Friendly
18.07.17	Zwolle - Almere City	3:0

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