Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 17

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Roda		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	1.71	4	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.95	3.95
	1.78	4.09	4.23
	2.11	3.79	3.00	Watch
	1.72	3.88	4.28	Watch
	1.68	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.11)	3.95 ↑ (3.79)	3.99 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
52.5%

Draw
23.8%

Dordrecht
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

24.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

24.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roda's performance.

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dordrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dordrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	19.2%	7.7%

Roda - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (2.12) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roda (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 28. Foss J. 24. Deom J. 4. Nisbet J. 8. Muller J. P. 11. Griffith I. 14. Breij M. 7. Seedorf C. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)	63. Biai C. (G) 2. van Aken J. 4. Drakpe A. 23. Woudenberg L. (C) 5. Hilton J. 18. van Asten R. 21. Vetkal M. 8. Sunderland L. 7. Venema N. 46. Eduardo Y. 14. Pynadath J.
Substitutes
27. Aslachanov D. 35. Janssen F. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 23. Steins J. (G) 19. Stevelmans M. 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)	11. Afaker M. 16. Bae S. 9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 27. Ezeb J. 24. Huitzing G. 20. Igor 15. M'Bemba Y. 10. van der Sluijs J. 77. Verdonk S. 25. Vugts S.
Coaches
van Dessel K.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Breij M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Sunderland L. ⚽, Eduardo Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
47', Bae S. 🟨,
62', van Asten R. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
65', Seedorf C. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
65', Takidine I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
66', Pynadath J. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
71', Afaker M. 🟨,
77', Kruiver J. ↓, Timmermans J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Venema N. ⚽, Afaker M. (A),
81', Venema N. ↓, Vugts S. ↑,
88', Deom J. ↓, Janssen F. ↑,
88', Griffith I. ↓, Lajud Martinez D. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Janssen F. ⚽,
90+3', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
90+3', Tol M. 🟨,
90+4', Biai C. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Dordrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Roda has had a series of away games.

Roda could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Paulissen M. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Dordrecht: de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Valk S. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Roda won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:14. (average 2.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2.9:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.11.25	Emmen - Roda	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	ADO Den Haag - Roda	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Capelle - Roda	1:5 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Vitesse - Roda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTWT
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Dordrecht - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Jong Ajax - Dordrecht	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Dordrecht - Almere City	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.02.25	Dordrecht - Roda	2:1
13.12.24	Roda - Dordrecht	0:1
09.02.24	Roda - Dordrecht	4:1
01.12.23	Dordrecht - Roda	2:0
27.01.23	Roda - Dordrecht	1:0
05.08.22	Dordrecht - Roda	0:2
04.03.22	Roda - Dordrecht	4:0

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