Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 17

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Kamphuis J. (Ned)


	Roda		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.55
	2.45	3.4	2.55
	2.43	3.55	2.63
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.6	3.66	2.66
	2.45	3.25	2.6
	2.48	3.62	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)	3.49 ↑ (3.41)	2.58 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
37.2%

Draw
26.7%

Heracles Almelo
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Roda - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Heracles will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roda won 0.

Recent matches Roda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heracles is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Roda won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Roda won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.11.22	ADO Den Haag - Roda	0:1 ✺
12.11.22	Roda - Helmond Sport	0:1 ✺
07.11.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Roda - Jong Utrecht	4:1 ✺
21.10.22	FC Oss - Roda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- Heracles Almelo
Club Friendly
04.12.22	Cambuur - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.11.22	Heracles Almelo - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
11.11.22	Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda	5:1 ✺
04.11.22	Willem II - Heracles Almelo	1:2 ✺
28.10.22	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	Roda - Heracles Almelo	2:3 penalties
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.18	Roda - Heracles Almelo	0:3
23.09.17	Heracles Almelo - Roda	2:1
11.02.17	Heracles Almelo - Roda	2:2
07.08.16	Roda - Heracles Almelo	1:1
28.02.16	Heracles Almelo - Roda	0:5
08.08.15	Roda - Heracles Almelo	3:1

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