Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Rodez		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.83
	4.8	3.15	1.81
	4.5	3.25	1.78
	5.1	3.3	1.86
	4.5	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.55	3.64	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↓ (4.84)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	1.8 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
20.2%

Draw
28.1%

Toulouse
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

27.2%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

26.9%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.8%	22%	49.2%

Rodez - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 17 - 28.8%). Toulouse will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 36.4% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Rodez has the most likely position - 18 (51.51%), has project points - 37, has currently - 34, has a chance of relegated (31%), has not chance of promoted.

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (99.72%), has project points - 82, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, was already of promoted, has a very good chance of win league (>99%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 33, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 0.

Rodez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toulouse is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toulouse is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
22.04.22	Nîmes - Rodez	3:2 ✺
19.04.22	Rodez - Nancy	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Rodez - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Quevilly - Rodez	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Rodez - Niort	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
25.04.22	Toulouse - Niort	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Sochaux - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Toulouse - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Guingamp - Toulouse	2:4 ✺
02.04.22	Toulouse - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.12.21	Toulouse - Rodez	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Toulouse - Rodez	2:0
French Ligue 2
20.02.21	Rodez - Toulouse	1:0
24.10.20	Toulouse - Rodez	3:0
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Toulouse - Rodez	Canceled
07.07.17	Rodez - Toulouse	1:0

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