Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 15

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Rodina Moscow		Dynamo Makhachkala

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.52
	2.15	3.08	3.64
	2.13	3.13	3.45	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.53)	3.13 (3.13)	3.47 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
43.3%

Draw
29.8%

Dynamo Makhachkala
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow's performance.

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Makhachkala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Makhachkala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rodina Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shakerov R. (G) 78. Bakaev S. 34. Dmitriev O. 6. Fishchenko R. (C) 72. Gordyushenko A. 24. Kleshchenko A. 55. Krizan M. 88. Sokol A. 99. Timoshenko I. 33. Wesley Nata 21. Yudintsev G.	27. Volk D. (G) 17. Abdullahi S. K. 99. Alibekov M. (C) 11. Cacintura 47. Glushkov N. 13. Kagermazov S. 34. Khramtsov M. 70. Kostyukov M. 55. Kovacevic V. 4. Shumakhov I. 22. Yusupov Z.
Substitutes
40. Bezchasnyuk A. 93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 9. Kalmykov A. 8. Kamyshev I. 15. Kochiev K. 77. Nasyrov I. 37. Pliev Z. 70. Samko V. 22. Sultonov M. 10. Turishchev M.	10. Abduragimov R. 46. Goshev E. (G) 9. Magomedov R. 41. Osokin D. 72. Sandrachuk A. 28. Serderov S.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Berdyev K.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rodina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rodina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rodina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian Cup
19.10.23	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
02.10.23	Rodina Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian FNL
14.10.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Forte Taganrog - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.04.23	Rodina Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0
25.09.22	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow	0:0

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