Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
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Germany	RTL+
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Hungary	RTL+
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Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
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Mexico	ESPN
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Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
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Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Roma		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5.75
	1.6	4.3	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4.2	6.06
	1.57	4.24	6.15	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5.8
	1.61	4.45	5.95
	1.6	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	4.27 ↑ (4)	5.83 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Roma
60.9%

Draw
22.6%

Dynamo Kyiv
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.1%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.2%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	5.4%	5.4%

Roma - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (66 of 72 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.29% – 98.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 5. Ndicka E. (C) 3. Angelino 19. Celik Z. 28. Le Fee E. 17. Kone M. 59. Zalewski N. 35. Baldanzi T. 61. Pisilli N. 11. Dovbyk A.	35. Neshcheret R. (G) 40. Bilovar K. 4. Popov D. 32. Mykhavko T. 24. Tymchyk O. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 18. Andriyevski O. (C) 15. Rubchynskyi V. 2. Vivcharenko K. 9. Voloshyn N. 39. Guerrero E.
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 66. Buba Aboubacar 4. Cristante B. 21. Dybala P. 15. Hummels M. 89. Marin R. (G) 16. Paredes L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 98. Ryan M. (G) 14. Shomurodov E.	6. Brazhko V. 1. Bushchan G. (G) 29. Buyalskyy V. 44. Dubinchak V. 3. Dyachuk M. 22. Kabaev V. 20. Karavaev O. 23. Malysh N. 51. Morgun V. (G) 10. Shaparenko M. 11. Vanat V.
Coaches
Juric I.	Shovkovsky O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Mykhavko T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Dovbyk A. (Pen),
37', Rubchynskyi V. 🟨,
44', Angelino 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Le Fee E. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
53', Dovbyk A. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
63', Voloshyn N. ↓, Kabaev V. ↑,
63', Rubchynskyi V. ↓, Brazhko V. ↑,
63', Andriyevski O. ↓, Shaparenko M. ↑,
68', Pisilli N. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
68', Baldanzi T. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
68', Guerrero E. ↓, Vanat V. ↑,
81', Mykhaylenko M. ↓, Buyalskyy V. ↑,
84', Kabaev V. 🟨,
90+4', Shaparenko M. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Roma is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Roma: El Shaarawy S. (Calf Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo: Bragaru M. (Red Card) Pikhalyonok O. (Injury) Shepelev V. (Muscle Injury) Yarmolenko A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P. (Injury) Le Fee E. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
20.10.24	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Monza - Roma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Elfsborg - Roma	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWT
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.10.24	Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv	1:5 ✺
06.10.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Kryvbas	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Hoffenheim - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
29.09.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

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