Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Select 1, ZAP
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	14:00	Z Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	ESPN 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Brazil	10:00	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	TLN, VIVA
Chile	10:00	ESPN 2
China	21:00	QQ Sports
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Match 4, Net4+ Sport
India	18:30	GXR World
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	19:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	15:00	ART Motion Sport 3
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	15:00	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	Sporty TV
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
Norway	15:00	VG+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	16:00	Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	21:00	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	15:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	16:00	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Arab Emirates	17:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	09:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Inter
Vietnam	20:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	13:00	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Roma		Venezia

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.7	6.4	Watch
	1.47	4.7	7.27
	1.51	4.39	6.83	Watch
	1.4	4.8	8
	1.49	4.54	7.32	Watch
	1.48	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.59 ↓ (4.67)	6.92 ↓ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
65.2%

Draw
20.9%

Venezia
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

13.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	8.5%	0%

Roma - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (52 of 57 users predict this - 91.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.89% – 98.57%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 3. Angelino 19. Celik Z. 17. Kone M. 4. Cristante B. 92. El Shaarawy S. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 11. Dovbyk A.	1. Joronen J. (G) 27. Candela A. 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 7. Zampano F. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 5. Haps R. 11. Oristanio G. 6. Busio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 26. Dahl S. 21. Dybala P. 22. Hermoso M. 15. Hummels M. 89. Marin R. (G) 16. Paredes L. 61. Pisilli N. 98. Ryan M. (G) 14. Shomurodov E.	38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 79. Carboni F. 22. Crnigoj D. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 45. Raimondo A. 21. Sagrado R. 25. Schingtienne J. 35. Stankovic F. (G) 33. Sverko M.
Coaches
Juric I.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Idzes J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Mancini G. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
58', Kone M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
67', Candela A. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Cristante B. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
76', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Doumbia I. ↑,
77', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Andersen M. K. ↑,
77', Oristanio G. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
80', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Pisilli N. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
84', Candela A. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
84', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
85', Soule M. ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
90', Cristante B. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Roma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Le Fee E. (Muscle Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Hernia)

There are questionable in Roma: Celik Z. (Injury) Dybala P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Altare G. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Roma - Udinese	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Genoa - Roma	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Juventus - Roma	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Roma - Empoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTTL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
21.09.24	Venezia - Genoa	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Milan - Venezia	4:0 ✺
30.08.24	Venezia - Torino	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Fiorentina - Venezia	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Lazio - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.05.22	Roma - Venezia	1:1
07.11.21	Venezia - Roma	3:2

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