Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1, SuperSport Variety 2
Albania	SuperSport 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	ESPN 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Portugal	DAZN 6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 23, Blue Sport 23
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App, VIX App


	Elfsborg		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.75
	4.4	3.7	1.78
	4.45	3.7	1.82
	4.6	3.75	1.82
	4.46	3.71	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.8
	4.61	3.91	1.84
	4.5	3.75	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (4.8)	3.75 ↓ (3.95)	1.8 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
21.4%

Draw
25.6%

Roma
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

22.7%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.2%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.7%	13.7%	72.5%

Elfsborg - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 7 - 14%). Roma will win (votes: 36 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 59.6% – 84.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 29. Buhari I. 4. Henriksson G. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. 16. Ouma T. 23. Hult N. 9. Zeneli A. 10. Baidoo M. (C) 18. Qasem A.	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 12. Abdulhamid S. 61. Pisilli N. 16. Paredes L. (C) 3. Angelino 18. Soule M. 14. Shomurodov E. 35. Baldanzi T.
Substitutes
14. Abdullai J. 6. Baldursson A. F. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 17. Frick P. 11. Gudmundsson E. A. 12. Holten E. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 28. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 7. Thomasen J. 1. Uppenberg M. (G)	66. Buba Aboubacar 4. Cristante B. 11. Dovbyk A. 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 15. Hummels M. 17. Kone M. 23. Mancini G. 89. Marin R. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 98. Ryan M. (G)
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Qasem A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Baidoo M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Hult N. 🟨,
60', Zeneli A. 🟨,
62', Zeneli A. ↓, Abdullai J. ↑,
65', Abdulhamid S. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
65', Soule M. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
65', Shomurodov E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
72', Baldanzi T. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
85', Pisilli N. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
86', Baidoo M. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
90+5', Dybala P. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Elfsborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Le Fee E. (Muscle Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.24	Kalmar - Elfsborg	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	AZ Alkmaar - Elfsborg	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.24	Elfsborg - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Halmstad - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTTW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Roma - Udinese	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Genoa - Roma	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Juventus - Roma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTT

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