Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borås Arena (Borås) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1, SuperSport Variety 2
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 2
China	03:00	QQ Sports
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	00:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:00	ESPN 4
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 6
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 23
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App, VIX App


	Elfsborg		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.75
	4.4	3.7	1.78
	4.45	3.7	1.82
	4.6	3.75	1.82
	4.46	3.71	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.8
	4.61	3.91	1.84
	4.5	3.75	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (4.8)	3.75 ↓ (3.95)	1.8 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
21.4%

Draw
25.6%

Roma
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.7%

22.7%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.2%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.7%	13.7%	72.5%

Elfsborg - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 7 - 14%). Roma will win (votes: 36 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 59.6% – 84.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 29. Buhari I. 4. Henriksson G. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. 16. Ouma T. 23. Hult N. 9. Zeneli A. 10. Baidoo M. (C) 18. Qasem A.	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 12. Abdulhamid S. 61. Pisilli N. 16. Paredes L. (C) 3. Angelino 18. Soule M. 14. Shomurodov E. 35. Baldanzi T.
Substitutes
14. Abdullai J. 6. Baldursson A. F. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 17. Frick P. 11. Gudmundsson E. A. 12. Holten E. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 28. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 7. Thomasen J. 1. Uppenberg M. (G)	66. Buba Aboubacar 4. Cristante B. 11. Dovbyk A. 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 15. Hummels M. 17. Kone M. 23. Mancini G. 89. Marin R. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 98. Ryan M. (G)
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Qasem A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Baidoo M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Hult N. 🟨,
60', Zeneli A. 🟨,
62', Zeneli A. ↓, Abdullai J. ↑,
65', Abdulhamid S. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
65', Soule M. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
65', Shomurodov E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
72', Baldanzi T. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
85', Pisilli N. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
86', Baidoo M. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
90+5', Dybala P. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Elfsborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Le Fee E. (Muscle Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.24	Kalmar - Elfsborg	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	AZ Alkmaar - Elfsborg	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.24	Elfsborg - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Halmstad - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTTW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Roma - Udinese	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Genoa - Roma	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Juventus - Roma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTT

Upcoming Matches