Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 7

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Select 1
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	ESPN 3
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	ESPN 3
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+ Sport
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 3, Azam Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Monza		Roma

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	2	Watch
	3.9	3.25	2
	3.9	3.35	2.02	Watch
	4.22	3.35	2.02
	4.23	3.34	2	Watch
	4.2	3.25	2
	4.24	3.46	2.04	Watch
	4	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.81)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Monza
23.5%

Draw
28.8%

Roma
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.1%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

28.3%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.8%	6.7%	85.6%

Monza - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (76 of 87 users predict this - 87.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.38% – 94.34%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 22. Mari P. 44. Carboni A. 13. Pereira P. 38. Bondo W. 42. Bianco A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 32. Pessina M. (C) 14. Maldini D. 11. Djuric M.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 3. Angelino 19. Celik Z. 17. Kone M. 4. Cristante B. 92. El Shaarawy S. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 11. Dovbyk A.
Substitutes
5. Caldirola L. 10. Caprari G. 84. Ciurria P. 33. D'Ambrosio D. 20. Forson O. 24. Maric M. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 47. Mota D. 56. Vailati A. (G) 27. Valoti M.	12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 26. Dahl S. 22. Hermoso M. 28. Le Fee E. 89. Marin R. (G) 16. Paredes L. 61. Pisilli N. 98. Ryan M. (G) 14. Shomurodov E. 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
26', Soule M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Kyriakopoulos G. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Dovbyk A. ⚽,
63', Bianco A. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Mota D. ⚽,
71', Soule M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
71', Angelino ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
73', Pereira P. ↓, D'Ambrosio D. ↑,
86', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
86', Celik Z. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
88', Maldini D. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
90+1', Djuric M. 🟨,
90+3', D'Ambrosio D. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Roma will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Monza: Ciurria P. (Knee Injury) Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Vignato S. (Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Dybala P. (Injury) Hummels M. (Illness) Le Fee E. (Muscle Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Birindelli S. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Napoli - Monza	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
26.09.24	Monza - Brescia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Monza - Bologna	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Monza - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Fiorentina - Monza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLTT
- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Elfsborg - Roma	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Roma - Udinese	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Genoa - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.03.24	Monza - Roma	1:4
22.10.23	Roma - Monza	1:0
03.05.23	Monza - Roma	1:1
30.08.22	Roma - Monza	3:0

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