Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	Play6, Play Sports 6, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	VIX App


	Nice		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2
	3.3	3.3	2.3
	3.38	3.36	2.27
	3.05	3.52	2.24	Watch
	3.28	3.34	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	3.38 ↓ (3.52)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
29.5%

Draw
28.2%

Roma
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.1%	34.4%	62.5%

Nice - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). Roma will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Roma (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.91) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - Roma (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roma (3.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Nice (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Roma (votes: 9 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 4. Dante (C) 20. Louchet T. 24. Vanhoutte C. 6. Boudaoui H. 26. Bard M. 8. Sanson M. 7. Boga J. 90. Kevin	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 2. Rensch D. 17. Kone M. 8. El Aynaoui N. 12. Tsimikas K. 92. El Shaarawy S. (C) 18. Soule M. 9. Dovbyk A.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 99. Abdul Samed S. 64. Bombito M. 25. Cho M. 92. Clauss J. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 9. Moffi T. 37. Peprah K. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)	3. Angelino 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 43. Wesley Franca
Coaches
Haise F.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Kone M. 🟨,
41', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
41', Ndicka E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Ndicka E. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
55', 0 - 2, Mancini G. ⚽, Tsimikas K. (A),
62', Boudaoui H. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
62', Sanson M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
62', Kevin ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
69', Soule M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
69', Kone M. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
69', Dovbyk A. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Moffi T. (Pen),
79', Tsimikas K. 🟨,
80', Bard M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
80', Boga J. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
83', Rensch D. ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
88', Hermoso M. 🟨,
90+2', Gasperini G. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Roma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Roma will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Baldanzi T. (Inactive) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury) Pisilli N. (Inactive) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive) Ziolkowski J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Nice: Coulibaly D. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Wesley Franca (Stomach Disorder)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Le Havre - Nice	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nice - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pisa - Roma	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Roma - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Roma - Neom	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.22	Roma - Nice	1:1

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