Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Supersport Action
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	21:00	Play6, Play Sports 6, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	21:00	Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Action
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
International	19:00	VIX App


	Nice		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2
	3.3	3.3	2.3
	3.38	3.36	2.27
	3.05	3.52	2.24	Watch
	3.28	3.34	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	3.38 ↓ (3.52)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
29.5%

Draw
28.2%

Roma
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

26.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.1%	34.4%	62.5%

Nice - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). Roma will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Roma (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.91) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - Roma (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roma (3.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Nice (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Roma (votes: 9 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 4. Dante (C) 20. Louchet T. 24. Vanhoutte C. 6. Boudaoui H. 26. Bard M. 8. Sanson M. 7. Boga J. 90. Kevin	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 2. Rensch D. 17. Kone M. 8. El Aynaoui N. 12. Tsimikas K. 92. El Shaarawy S. (C) 18. Soule M. 9. Dovbyk A.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 99. Abdul Samed S. 64. Bombito M. 25. Cho M. 92. Clauss J. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 9. Moffi T. 37. Peprah K. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)	3. Angelino 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 22. Hermoso M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 43. Wesley Franca
Coaches
Haise F.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Kone M. 🟨,
41', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
41', Ndicka E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Ndicka E. ⚽, Pellegrini Lo. (A),
55', 0 - 2, Mancini G. ⚽, Tsimikas K. (A),
62', Boudaoui H. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
62', Sanson M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
62', Kevin ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
69', Soule M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
69', Kone M. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
69', Dovbyk A. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Moffi T. (Pen),
79', Tsimikas K. 🟨,
80', Bard M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
80', Boga J. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
83', Rensch D. ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
88', Hermoso M. 🟨,
90+2', Gasperini G. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Roma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Roma will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Baldanzi T. (Inactive) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury) Pisilli N. (Inactive) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive) Ziolkowski J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Nice: Coulibaly D. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Wesley Franca (Stomach Disorder)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Le Havre - Nice	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nice - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pisa - Roma	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Roma - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Roma - Neom	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.22	Roma - Nice	1:1

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