Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Mansfield Town		Derby County

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.80	5.00
	1.68	3.85	3.75
	1.51	4.20	5.10
	1.70	3.75	4.51	Watch
	1.49	4.00	4.75
	1.57	4.38	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (3.24)	4 ↑ (3.8)	4.68 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
57.7%

Draw
22.8%

Derby County
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

24.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mansfield Town - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lewis H. (G) 7. Akins L. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 24. Hendry R. 17. McGoldrick D. 23. Oshilaja A. 25. Reed L. 19. Roberts T. 8. Russell J. 14. Smith M. 5. Sweeney R. (C)	31. Vickers J. (G) 42. Allen C. 39. Brown D. 45. Canoville R. 37. Eames O. 41. Gill T. 17. Goudmijn K. 6. Langas S. (C) 24. Nyambe R. 15. Salvesen L. 43. Smith C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Smith M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sweeney R. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
46', Roberts T. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Smith C. ⚽,
61', Langas S. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
61', Salvesen L. ↓, Osayande A. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Allen C. ⚽,
70', Reed L. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
70', Russell J. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
70', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
70', Oshilaja A. ↓, Hartmann E. ↑,
70', Hendry R. ↓, Taylor O. ↑,
70', McGoldrick D. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
70', Akins L. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
70', Smith M. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
85', Allen C. ↓, Wren K. ↑,
85', Smith C. ↓, Hodges D. ↑,
87', Vickers J. ↓, Price H. ↑,
87', Goudmijn K. ↓, Myers K. ↑,

Preview

Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Alfreton Town - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
English League One
02.05.26	Mansfield Town - Cardiff City	5:4 ✺
28.04.26	Peterborough United - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Huddersfield Town - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
21.04.26	Stockport County - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWTWW
- Derby County
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Freiburg - Derby County	3:1 ✺
17.07.26	Alfreton Town - Derby County	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
02.05.26	Derby County - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Derby County	2:3 ✺
21.04.26	Norwich City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Mansfield Town - Derby County	2:1 penalties
English League Cup
09.08.22	Mansfield Town - Derby County	1:2
Club Friendly
18.07.18	Mansfield Town - Derby County	3:1
25.07.12	Mansfield Town - Derby County	N/A

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