Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Rotor		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.78	Watch
	4.8	3.25	1.79
	4.6	3.25	1.8
	5.12	3.42	1.85
	5	3.3	1.75
	5.05	3.5	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↓ (5.01)	3.35 ↓ (3.39)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
19.3%

Draw
28.3%

Lokomotiv Moscow
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

27.8%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

23%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.3%	8.5%	70.2%

Rotor - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Rotor will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 33 - 70.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv: 57.1% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Lokomotiv has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Rotor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lokomotiv in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rotor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lokomotiv is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rotor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
17.03.21	Rotor - Rostov	0:4 ✺
13.03.21	Ural - Rotor	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Rotor - Khimki	0:0 ✺
26.02.21	Tambov - Rotor	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.21	Rubin Kazan - Rotor	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTW?
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Club Friendly
27.03.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Tuapse	9:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.03.21	Ufa - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
14.03.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi	3:1 ✺
08.03.21	Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:3 ✺
27.02.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
24.10.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rotor	1:2

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