Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: RZD Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.86	4.55
	1.71	4.1	5.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)	3.98 ↓ (4.22)	4.94 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
55.8%

Draw
24.5%

Sochi
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 24. Nenakhov M. 23. Montes C. 85. Morozov E. 45. Silyanov A. 93. Karpukas A. 83. Batrakov A. (C) 6. Barinov D. 14. Saltykov N. 27. Komlichenko N. 19. Rudenko A.	35. Degtev A. (G) 27. Zaika K. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 4. Litvinov V. 17. Makarchuk A. 20. Vasiljev D. 7. Zinkovskiy A. 6. Saavedra I. 59. Bart R. 10. Kramaric M. 23. Guarirapa S.
Substitutes
7. Bakaev Z. 90. Godyaev D. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 3. Lucas Fasson 99. Myalkovskiy R. 5. Nyamsi G. 59. Pogostnov E. 8. Sarveli V. 16. Veselov D. (G) 10. Vorobyev D.	37. Chirkov M. 29. Ezhov R. 8. Ignatov M. 13. Kaynov M. 18. Korneev A. 28. Magal R. 34. Osipov A. 1. Rudakov M. (G)
Coaches
Galaktionov M.	Moreno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bart R. ↓, Ezhov R. ↑,
51', Makarchuk A. 🟨,
60', Saltykov N. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑,
60', Komlichenko N. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
64', Litvinov V. ↓, Chirkov M. ↑,
64', Vasiljev D. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
74', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Rudenko A. ⚽, Nenakhov M. (A),
83', 2 - 0, Vorobyev D. ⚽,
84', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Bakaev Z. ⚽,
90', Kramaric M. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.

Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lokomotiv is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lokomotiv: Mampassi M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sochi: Kravtsov K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 57.68%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:4 ✺
19.05.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
30.04.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTL
- FC Sochi
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
31.05.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
24.05.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
10.03.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi	2:2
27.08.23	Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1
08.05.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi	3:0
Club Friendly
29.01.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi	2:0
Russian Premier League
08.10.22	Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow	4:0
17.04.22	Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:2
25.10.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi	2:1

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