Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 34

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3


	Ruch Chorzów		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.3
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.96	3.6	2.34
	2.97	3.51	2.34
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.75	3.54	2.36	Watch
	2.67	3.55	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.58)	3.58 ↑ (3.1)	2.3 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
33.3%

Draw
26.1%

Cracovia
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Ruch Chorzów - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Stipica D. (G) 59. Stepinski P. 20. Szymanski S. 6. Josema 96. Dadok R. 10. Foszmanczyk T. (C) 22. Starzynski F. 5. Wojtowicz T. 54. Wilak F. 86. Novothny S. 70. Kozak M.	31. Hrosso L. (C) 4. Jaroszynski P. 15. Glik K. 5. Ghita V. 3. Skovgaard A. 63. Rozga F. 20. Knap K. 6. Atanasov J. 10. Rakoczy M. 7. Makuch P. 9. Kallman B.
Substitutes
24. Baranski B. 77. Bartolewski M. 1. Buchalik M. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 19. Feliks M. 33. Huras M. 18. Kwiatkowski K. 13. Moneta L. 21. Sadlok M.	33. Bitri E. 17. Bochnak M. 23. Bzdyl F. 13. Madejski S. (G) 11. Maigaard M. 19. Olafsson D. 18. Oshima T. 2. Rapa C. 88. Sokolowski P.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Kroczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Foszmanczyk T. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
37', Szymanski S. ↓, Sadlok M. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 0, Novothny S. ⚽, Kozak M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Makuch P. ↓, Maigaard M. ↑,
64', Knap K. ↓, Sokolowski P. ↑,
65', Rozga F. ↓, Rapa C. ↑,
65', Atanasov J. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
71', Skovgaard A. 🟥,
71', Novothny S. 🟨,
75', Dadok R. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
78', Wilak F. ↓, Bartolewski M. ↑,
78', Kozak M. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
82', Feliks M. 🟨,
84', Kallman B. ↓, Bochnak M. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Novothny S. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 12).

Ruch Chorzów is Relegated to Division 1

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ruch Chorzów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 22-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.05.24	Korona Kielce - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Radomiak Radom - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Ruch Chorzów - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Ruch Chorzów	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LWWWL
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.05.24	Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Cracovia	4:0 ✺
03.05.24	Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze	5:0 ✺
28.04.24	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
03.12.23	Cracovia - Ruch Chorzów	4:4
19.05.17	Cracovia - Ruch Chorzów	2:0
10.02.17	Ruch Chorzów - Cracovia	0:1
20.08.16	Cracovia - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
Club Friendly
25.06.16	Ruch Chorzów - Cracovia	1:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.04.16	Ruch Chorzów - Cracovia	0:1
02.03.16	Ruch Chorzów - Cracovia	2:3

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