Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 32

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5


	Radomiak Radom		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.3
	2.1	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.13	3.5	3.49
	2.14	3.5	3.49
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.11	3.52	3.32	Watch
	2.07	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
44.6%

Draw
27.2%

Ruch Chorzów
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	14.3%	23.8%

Radomiak Radom - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Kobylak G. (G) 14. Jakubik D. 29. Rossi R. (C) 4. Vuskovic L. 13. Grzesik J. 6. Kaput M. 66. Jordao B. 33. Abramowicz D. 7. Semedo L. 70. Vagner 27. Wolski R.	36. Stipica D. (G) 96. Dadok R. 20. Szymanski S. 6. Josema 59. Stepinski P. 22. Starzynski F. 7. Letniowski J. 5. Wojtowicz T. 86. Novothny S. 70. Kozak M. 95. Szczepan D. (C)
Substitutes
10. Alves R. 16. Cichocki M. 99. Guilherme 9. Leandro 8. Luizao 1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 37. Molendowski M. 18. Okoniewski K. 23. Peglow	24. Baranski B. 77. Bartolewski M. 1. Buchalik M. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 13. Moneta L. 21. Sadlok M. 88. Vlkanova A. 54. Wilak F.
Coaches
Kedziorek M.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Letniowski J. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Baranski B. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Baranski B. ⚽, Novothny S. (A),
64', Novothny S. ↓, Wilak F. ↑,
65', Kozak M. ↓, Vlkanova A. ↑,
67', Kaput M. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
74', Semedo L. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
74', Wolski R. ↓, Leandro ↑,
76', Vlkanova A. 🟨,
77', Szczepan D. 🟨,
80', Grzesik J. ↓, Peglow ↑,
86', Dadok R. ↓, Bartolewski M. ↑,
86', Baranski B. ↓, Sadlok M. ↑,
88', Stipica D. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Vlkanova A. ⚽, Wilak F. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Radomiak will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Radomiak: Ramos F. (Injury) Rocha L. (Injury)

There will not play in Ruch Chorzów: Barnowski D. (Injury) Dlugosz W. (Injury) Sikora P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ruch Chorzów: Dadok R. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.05.24	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	0:3 ✺
28.04.24	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	3:4 ✺
19.04.24	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:2 ✺
05.04.24	Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLLLW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.05.24	Ruch Chorzów - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Ruch Chorzów	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	2:3 ✺
12.04.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Ruch Chorzów	5:0 ✺
06.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
13.11.23	Ruch Chorzów - Radomiak Radom	0:0
Polish Division 2
17.11.18	Radomiak Radom - Ruch Chorzów	2:0
28.07.18	Ruch Chorzów - Radomiak Radom	0:2

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