Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 11

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.95
	3.5	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.66	3.9	1.98
	3.3	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.52	3.74	1.96	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.37)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	1.96 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
27.1%

Draw
25.2%

Pogoń Szczecin
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.3%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

25.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Bielecki J. (G) 5. Wojtowicz T. 20. Szymanski S. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 77. Bartolewski M. 28. Podstawski T. 70. Kozak M. 6. Swedrowski T. 7. Letniowski J. 19. Feliks M. 9. Firlej M.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 23. Zech B. 33. Malec M. 32. Koutris L. 8. Ulvestad F. 7. Kurzawa R. 22. Bichakhchyan V. 20. Gorgon A. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
27. Dlugosz W. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 2. Kasolik K. 26. Michalski K. 32. Potoczny M. (G) 16. Sedlak J. 18. Steczyk D. 95. Szczepan D. 4. Szur P.	17. Fornalczyk M. 21. Gamboa J. 81. Klebaniuk B. (G) 4. Leo Borges 68. Loncar D. 73. Przyborek A. 61. Smolinski K. 41. Stolarski P. 10. Zahovic L.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Gustafsson J.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 1.

Ruch Chorzów has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pogoń Szczecin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pogoń Szczecin will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ruch Chorzów: Barnowski D. (Injury)

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Lisowski W. (Injury) Wedrychowski M. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.09.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Legia II - Ruch Chorzów	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	3:5 ✺
15.09.23	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.10.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań	5:0 ✺
27.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	3:4 ✺
23.09.23	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:5 ✺
16.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
15.04.17	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2
29.10.16	Pogoń Szczecin - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
15.04.16	Pogoń Szczecin - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
07.03.16	Pogoń Szczecin - Ruch Chorzów	2:3
02.10.15	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2
06.03.15	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1
12.09.14	Pogoń Szczecin - Ruch Chorzów	1:1

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