Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski (Chorzów)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Ruch Chorzów		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.6	2.45
	2.45	3.6	2.52	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.75
	2.4	3.81	2.6	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.5
	2.46	3.73	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.68)	3.6 ↑ (3.23)	2.56 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
38%

Draw
25.8%

Wieczysta Kraków
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.6%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ruch Chorzów - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Wieczysta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gradecki B. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 24. Komor A. 17. Lukic A. 38. Karasinski S. 25. Ventura D. 18. Nagamatsu S. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 13. Jendryka J. 7. Kolar M. 21. Szwedzik P.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 4. Fila K. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 15. Djermanovic A. 33. Pestka K. 11. Knezevic N. 12. Piazon L. 20. Maigaard M. 23. Miki Villar 9. Paulinho 19. Trabka M.
Substitutes
82. Bielecki J. (G) 77. Ceglarz P. 29. Lachendro F. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 4. Preisler D. 5. Rosol M. 27. Szwoch M. 6. Szyminski P. 22. Watson M.	27. Carlitos 17. Dankowski K. 18. Feiertag S. 7. Gajos M. 5. Olsson E. 6. Pietrzak R. 70. Pusic P. 77. Semedo L. 28. Soberka K. (G)
Coaches
Fornalik W.	Moskal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Kolar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Djermanovic A. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Fila K. (A),
59', Knezevic N. 🟨,
64', Kolar M. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
64', Ventura D. ↓, Szwoch M. ↑,
70', Paulinho ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
70', Miki Villar ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
80', Konczkowski M. ↓, Lesniak-Paduch N. ↑,
80', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Rosol M. ↑,
83', Knezevic N. ↓, Gajos M. ↑,
83', Pazdan M. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
86', Jendryka J. ↓, Preisler D. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Semedo L. ⚽, Maigaard M. (A),
90+2', Trabka M. ↓, Carlitos ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Ruch Chorzów is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wieczysta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Ruch Chorzow: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ruch Chorzów - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.36%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
06.04.26	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	ŁKS Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTWWW
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
04.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Stal Mielec - Wieczysta Kraków	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Górnik Łęczna - Wieczysta Kraków	0:3 ✺
02.03.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Wisła Kraków - Wieczysta Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
28.09.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	4:2

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