Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Ryūkyū		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.2	2	Watch
	3.75	2.95	1.98
	3.85	3.1	2.04	Watch
	3.9	3	2
	4.02	3.26	2.09
	3.7	2.88	2.05
	4.2	3.02	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.25)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.04 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
23.7%

Draw
30.5%

Fagiano Okayama
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryūkyū's form might have worsened.

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fagiano Okayama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryūkyū, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryūkyū - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 0.

Ryūkyū is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Okayama is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Okayama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
03.04.22	Yokohama FC - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
30.03.22	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	2:5 ✺
23.03.22	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	4:1 ✺
19.03.22	Ryūkyū - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
03.04.22	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
30.03.22	Fagiano Okayama - Grulla Morioka	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.10.21	Ryūkyū - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
19.06.21	Fagiano Okayama - Ryūkyū	3:0
05.12.20	Ryūkyū - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
01.08.20	Fagiano Okayama - Ryūkyū	1:2
13.07.19	Ryūkyū - Fagiano Okayama	0:2
19.05.19	Fagiano Okayama - Ryūkyū	1:0

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