The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ryūkyū 29%
Draw 29.6%
Tochigi 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
27.3%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
27.1%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryūkyū's form might have worsened.
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryūkyū, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Ryūkyū - Tochigi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sato H. (G) 15. Araki R. 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 24. Sato Y. 18. Hiramatsu S. 7. Motegi S. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 89. Takagi D. 39. Ihara A.
1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 22. Takahashi H. 11. Aoshima T. 47. Yoshino H. 8. Fukumori K. 7. Tanahashi A. 10. Igarashi T. 9. Sugawara R.
Substitutes
17. Einaga T. 13. Iwamoto S. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 20. Nagai S. 32. Narita A. 19. Sato M. 23. Sota K. 28. Tsuha J. 47. Wade M.
18. Kawana R. 38. Kobori S. 80. Otabor K. 33. Rafael Costa 19. Shoji H. 40. Takashima S. 27. Tanno K. (G) 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Aoshima T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Tomidokoro Y. ⚽, Ihara A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sugawara R. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
46', Takahashi H. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
57', Tomidokoro Y. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Fukumori K. ⚽,
61', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
61', Takagi D. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
61', Motegi S. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
76', Ihara A. ↓, Iwamoto S. ↑,
83', Igarashi T. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
85', Fujiharu H. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Iwamoto S. ⚽,
89', Fukumori K. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
89', Aoshima T. ↓, Rafael Costa ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 3.
Ryūkyū has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Tochigi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ryūkyū could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Our prediction for today's Tochigi to win the game is with odds 2.52.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.9:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Ryūkyū won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2.5:1).
Japan
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Sato H. (G) 
Otabor K. 
Rafael Costa 
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