The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 37%
Draw 30.2%
Amarante 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
31.3%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
33.2%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São João de Ver, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amarante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São João de Ver - Amarante Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Amarante will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Benjamim R. (G) 6. Barbosa D. 27. Ca L. 7. Erick Gabriel 23. Monteiro J. 11. Rai Nascimento 21. Rui Bruno 3. Serrao J. 29. Valente R. 55. Vilela M. 33. Washington
1. Duarte M. (G) 88. Aguiar E. 6. Almeida F. 4. Filipe J. 5. Innusah H. 28. Pedro R. 2. Ribeiro O. 10. Rodrigues D. 23. Saint-Louis J. 80. Ventura 22. Vivas S.
Substitutes
20. Campas T. 10. Castro J. 37. Firmino H. 16. Jesse 9. Marques P. 4. Morais B. 19. Tavares D. 61. Vilela R.
30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 90. Arome 7. Conceicao M. 13. Flores R. (G) 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 99. Roger 17. Sousa G. 64. Vila D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ventura ⚽, Saint-Louis J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Barbosa D. 🟨,
55', Vivas S. 🟨,
63', Erick Gabriel ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
63', Ca L. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
70', Washington 🟨,
73', Rodrigues D. ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
76', Rai Nascimento ↓, Firmino H. ↑,
76', Serrao J. 🟨,
79', Ventura ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
84', Washington ↓, Marques P. ↑,
87', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Arome ↑,
89', Monteiro J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 0.
São João de Ver has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Amarante is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Amarante - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Benjamim R. (G) 
Erick Gabriel 
Innusah H. 
Saint-Louis J. 
Jesse 
Arome 
Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 
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