Match Info

Serie B - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Venezia

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.86	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.05
	3.95	3.15	1.95	Watch
	4.65	3.36	1.96
	4.33	3.39	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.91
	4.38	3.29	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (4)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
22.7%

Draw
28.5%

Venezia
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

30.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

28.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cragno A. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 3. Bordon F. 28. Kofler R. 79. Molina S. 89. Crnigoj D. 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 7. Zedadka K. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 5. Haps R. 10. Yeboah J. 29. Lauberbach L.
Substitutes
31. Adamonis M. (G) 1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 23. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 26. Frigerio M. R. 4. Mancini D. 6. Martini J. 5. Masiello A. 21. Tait F. 11. Tonin R. 99. Verdi S.	9. Adorante A. 37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 28. Dagasso M. 11. Farji M. 4. Franjic B. 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A.
Coaches
Castori F.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Bordon F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bordon F. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Merkaj S. ⚽, Molina S. (A),
54', 1 - 1, Hainaut A. ⚽, Haps R. (A),
63', Perez K. 🟨,
65', Crnigoj D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
65', Zedadka K. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
66', Perez K. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
67', Lauberbach L. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
74', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
76', Casiraghi D. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
85', Pecorino E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
86', Yeboah J. ↓, Adorante A. ↑,
90', Casas A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.

Südtirol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Venezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Martini J. (Injury) Odogwu R. (Inactive) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) Compagnon M. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.5:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Südtirol-Alto Adige - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Venezia - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
21.02.26	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTTW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
21.02.26	Venezia - Pescara	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Cesena - Venezia	0:4 ✺
10.02.26	Venezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Frosinone - Venezia	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Venezia - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0
10.02.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	0:3
16.12.23	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3
21.01.23	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
21.08.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	1:2
Coppa Italia
05.08.18	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
02.04.17	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	0:2

Upcoming Matches