Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 10

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Argentina	ESPN 4
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Chile	ESPN 4
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Venezia		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.8
	2.72	3.15	2.72	Watch
	2.83	3.25	2.79
	2.82	3.13	2.77	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.92	3.21	2.77	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.68)	3.17 ↓ (3.34)	2.76 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
34.9%

Draw
30.3%

Udinese
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.6%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	35.3%	29.4%

Venezia - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Udinese will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 18.7% – 52.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stankovic F. (G) 27. Candela A. 30. Svoboda M. 15. Altare G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 32. Duncan A. 5. Haps R. 6. Busio G. 10. Yeboah J. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)	40. Okoye M. (G) 95. Toure I. 29. Bijol J. (C) 30. Giannetti L. 19. Ehizibue K. 8. Lovric S. 25. Karlstrom J. 5. Payero M. 11. Kamara H. 17. Lucca L. 21. Bravo I.
Substitutes
38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 79. Carboni F. 22. Crnigoj D. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 1. Joronen J. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 45. Raimondo A. 21. Sagrado R. 25. Schingtienne J. 33. Sverko M. 7. Zampano F.	4. Abankwah J. 22. Brenner 9. Davis K. 23. Ebosse E. 27. Kabasele C. 77. Modesto R. 93. Padelli D. (G) 16. Palma M. 99. Pizarro D. 90. Sava R. (G) 10. Thauvin F. 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,
17', Payero M. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Lovric S. ⚽, Bravo I. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Bravo I. ⚽,
40', Giannetti L. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Candela A. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
46', Yeboah J. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
53', Toure I. 🟥,
55', Bravo I. ↓, Kabasele C. ↑,
56', 2 - 2, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ⚽,
64', Giannetti L. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
64', Kamara H. ↓, Zemura J. ↑,
70', Haps R. 🟨,
74', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Andersen M. K. ↑,
74', Busio G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
78', Lovric S. ↓, Thauvin F. ↑,
78', Lucca L. ↓, Davis K. ↑,
80', Altare G. ↓, Sverko M. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
90+5', Bijol J. 🟨,
90+5', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
90+6', Oristanio G. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7).

Venezia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Udinese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Venezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Udinese have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Udinese: Deulofeu G. (Knee Injury) Kristensen T. (Injury) Sanchez A. (Injury) Thauvin F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Hernia) Sverko M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Atta A. (Injury) Payero M. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
27.10.24	Monza - Venezia	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Venezia - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Verona - Venezia	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Venezia - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLW
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
25.10.24	Udinese - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Milan - Udinese	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Udinese - Lecce	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Udinese - Inter Milan	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Udinese - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.04.22	Venezia - Udinese	1:2
27.08.21	Udinese - Venezia	3:0
Club Friendly
13.09.20	Udinese - Venezia	0:1
12.10.19	Udinese - Venezia	1:1

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