Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:00	beIN Sports


	SD Aucas		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.8	5.5
	1.63	3.9	5.4
	1.67	3.93	5.48
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.58	3.9	5.95	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.36)	3.83 ↓ (5.6)	5.48 ↓ (17.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
58.4%

Draw
24.5%

Ñublense
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

75.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Aucas's form might have worsened.

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ñublense's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	6.4%	10.6%

SD Aucas - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 93.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galindez H. (G) 5. Carabali F. 31. Castillo E. 13. Caicedo E. 52. David A. 29. Cuero Q. C. A. 22. Cano L. 7. Vega E. (C) 16. Quintero S. 49. Romulo Otero 38. Cifuentes J.	1. Perez N. (G) 18. Cerezo B. 5. Caroca R. 33. Zalazar N. 21. Rebolledo R. 11. Leiva J. 6. Reyes L. 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano G. (C) 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 12. Rubio P.
Substitutes
23. Aleman C. 33. Canga L. 40. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 35. Corozo D. 1. Frascarelli D. (G) 2. Garcia A. 20. Mieles M. 10. Montero J. 24. Ortiz K. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 9. Rangel M. 46. Rezabala J.	19. Abascia L. 22. Aranguiz P. 8. Cisterna R. 2. Cordova J. 17. Guerrero E. 20. Henriquez Neira J. A. 13. Martinez W. 25. Munoz H. (G) 10. Provoste B. 30. Valdes A. 9. Vilches Araneda A.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Garcia J.

Preview

Aucas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ñublense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aucas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ñublense have a series of home games.

In this match Aucas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aucas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.23	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.05.23	SD Aucas - Racing	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.05.23	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	SD Aucas - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTW
- Deportivo Ñublense
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Ñublense - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
20.05.23	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Huachipato - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Ñublense - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Ñublense - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Ñublense - SD Aucas	2:1

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