Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:30	beIN Sports
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV


	Ñublense		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6	4	1.53
	6.5	4.25	1.5
	6.29	4.28	1.55
	5.8	3.8	1.44
	6.1	4.25	1.52	Watch
	5.8	4.1	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (5.72)	4.14 ↑ (4)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
15.3%

Draw
22.6%

Flamengo
62.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.1%

23.1%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

23.6%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Ñublense - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ñublense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Flamengo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
20.05.23	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Huachipato - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Ñublense - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Ñublense - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.04.23	Palestino - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWWW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
21.05.23	Flamengo - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
16.05.23	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.05.23	Bahia - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
10.05.23	Flamengo - Goiás	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Flamengo - Ñublense	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
31.10.26	OHiggins - Ñublense	✺
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	Flamengo - Grêmio	✺
29.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	✺

Ñublense - Flamengo