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Current Win Probability
Guayaquil City 18.3%
Draw 26.1%
Independiente del Valle 55.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
25.7%
56.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
24.8%
58.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Napa G. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. (C) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 70. Mancilla P. 80. Gonzalez P. 11. Mero E. 10. Diaz D.
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J. 19. Loor L. 32. Mendez J. 17. Rodriguez A. 53. Lerma J. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 31. Pata E. 9. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
51. Cabezas E. 8. Humanante J. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 19. Naula A. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.
50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 16. Briones R. 14. Carabajal M. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 20. Gomez A. 18. Gongora S. 8. Ochoa Y. 11. Perello M. 99. Reasco D. 52. Vasquez Y.
Coaches
Gavilanez P.
Papa J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Laurino S. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Pata E. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Loor L. (A),
40', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
40', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Mero E. ⚽,
58', 1 - 3, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Loor L. (A),
64', Pata E. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
65', Lerma J. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
67', Laurino S. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
67', Arroyo D. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
78', Sornoza J. ↓, Ochoa Y. ↑,
78', Gonzalez C. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
83', Diaz D. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
86', Rodriguez A. ↓, Gongora S. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Mero E. ⚽, Arias R. (A),
90+1', Briones R. 🟨,
90+2', Humanante J. 🟨,
90+5', Loor L. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 4, Perello M. ⚽,
90+8', Perello M. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 0.
Guayaquil City is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ind del Valle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 7:38. (average 0.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.3:1.5).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Napa G. (G) 
Laurino S. 
Quintana A. (G) 
Gonzalez C. 
Carabajal M. 
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