Match Info

Date: 17 December 2020, Thursday


	SD Aucas		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.7
	2.23	3.45	2.75
	2.36	3.56	2.95
	2.25	3.5	2.8
	2.27	3.8	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	2.8 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
40.7%

Draw
26.2%

Universidad Católica
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

17.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SD Aucas - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aucas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Aucas won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Aucas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.12.20	SD Aucas - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
09.12.20	El Nacional - SD Aucas	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
29.11.20	SD Aucas - Orense	4:1 ✺
22.11.20	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWT
- Universidad Católica
Copa Sudamericana
15.12.20	Universidad Católica - Vélez Sársfield	1:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.12.20	Universidad Católica - Delfín	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.12.20	Vélez Sársfield - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.12.20	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Universidad Católica - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.20	Universidad Católica - SD Aucas	3:1
20.07.19	Universidad Católica - SD Aucas	1:1
24.02.19	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica	3:1
23.11.18	Universidad Católica - SD Aucas	0:2
05.08.18	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica	0:1
30.05.18	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica	0:1
14.04.18	Universidad Católica - SD Aucas	2:0

Upcoming Matches