The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SKA Khabarovsk 42.1%
Draw 29%
KAMAZ 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
32%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
32%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SKA Khabarovsk's performance.
KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA Khabarovsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
SKA Khabarovsk - KAMAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shtepa M. (G) 10. Aliev K. (C) 6. Bagiev S. 63. Borisov D. 17. Fomin D. 77. Koryan A. 21. Maksimov M. 8. Markitesov D. 4. Savichev K. 20. Shkolik I. 2. Zhirov A.
31. Anisimov A. (G) 99. Akbashev R. 7. Ayukin R. (C) 15. Burko M. 83. Laykin M. 27. Manuylov R. 18. Popov A. 79. Semenov V. 67. Tkachuk R. 25. Uridia M. 10. Zashchepkin R.
Substitutes
9. Alcalde J. 5. Bliev E. 37. Chirkov M. 50. Glotov S. 24. Gorelishvili M. 84. Grebenkin Y. 14. Mosin E. 7. Motpan N. 29. Mukhin A. 31. Nagaev D. (G) 91. Noskov E. 61. Uzhgin M.
19. Bogdanets M. 8. Dolgopolov E. 6. Kalistratov T. 2. Khubaev D. 9. Moseychuk I. 13. Rybalchenko N. (G) 76. Sukhanov A. 28. Sultonov M. 37. Voronin E.
Coaches
Zhukov S.
Khazov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Koryan A. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 2 - 0, Maksimov M. ⚽,
39', Bagiev S. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Semenov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Manuylov R. ↓, Sukhanov A. ↑,
57', Shkolik I. 🟨,
60', Zashchepkin R. ↓, Khubaev D. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Akbashev R. ⚽,
62', Bagiev S. ↓, Bliev E. ↑,
64', Laykin M. 🟨,
69', 2 - 3, Laykin M. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Semenov V. ↓, Sultonov M. ↑,
72', Koryan A. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
72', Maksimov M. ↓, Glotov S. ↑,
84', Aliev K. ↓, Noskov E. ↑,
84', Shkolik I. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
85', Uridia M. ↓, Voronin E. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Glotov S. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
SKA Khabarovsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, SKA Khabarovsk has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:13 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SKA Khabarovsk against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:4 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Kamaz
13
2
4
7
14:22
-8
10
17
SKA Khabarovsk
13
1
4
8
14:26
-12
7
Last Results with these Odds
SKA Khabarovsk - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Russia
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Shtepa M. (G) 
Koryan A. 
Burko M. 
Alcalde J. 
Motpan N. 
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