Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Sacachispas		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	2.62	2.45	Watch
	3.45	2.67	2.37
	1.55	3.59	6.15	Watch
	3.03	3.23	2.33
	2.83	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.88)	2.98 ↑ (2.87)	3.16 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
35.1%

Draw
33.4%

Real Pilar
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

32.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

31.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacachispas's performance.

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Pilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacachispas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Sacachispas - Real Pilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Real Pilar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 4. Barreiro E. 2. Agorreca N. 6. Buonofiglio A. 3. Cruz A. 8. Monje A. 5. Molina D. 10. Hector Canteros 11. Torres L. 7. Martinez J. 9. Campuzano C.	1. Cano M. (G) 4. Leguiza D. 2. Otermin A. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Franco E. 8. Gomez M. 5. Rios N. 10. Chambi L. 11. Crocco M. 7. Moran J. 9. Riquelme M. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Franco E. ↓, Barreiro A. ↑,
31', Martinez J. ↓, Arrieta S. ↑,
41', Arrieta S. 🟨,
42', Cruz A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Hector Canteros ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Chambi L. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
66', Crocco M. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Leguiza D. ⚽,
73', Hector Canteros ↓, Visco A. ↑,
78', Moran J. ↓, Martin B. ↑,
78', Gomez M. ↓, Dulon A. ↑,
82', Torres L. ↓, Toldo F. ↑,
90', Barreiro E. 🟨,
90+1', Arrieta S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3).

Recent form of Sacachispas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Pilar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sacachispas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
06.10.25	UAI Urquiza - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Sacachispas - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sacachispas - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Acassuso - Sacachispas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLTW
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
04.10.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Real Pilar	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Real Pilar - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	UAI Urquiza - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Real Pilar - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
23.05.25	Real Pilar - Sacachispas	2:0

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