Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, MLS


	Sacramento Republic		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.5
	2.5	3.6	2.5
	2.5	3.79	2.5
	2.49	3.83	2.49	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.58	3.45	2.55	Watch
	2.42	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.53)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	2.51 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
37.1%

Draw
26.4%

Seattle Sounders
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

25.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Sacramento Republic - Seattle Sounders Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Seattle will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. 6. Wiedt S. 2. Gurr J. 19. Ross N. 96. Fernandes L. 3. Viader D. 10. Parano C. 23. Phillips K. 40. Sanchez A.	26. Thomas A. (G) 7. Roldan C. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 15. Bell J. 5. Nouhou 6. Joao Paulo 8. Atencio J. 14. Rothrock P. 11. Rusnak A. 21. Baker-Whiting R. 13. Morris J.
Substitutes
7. Amann T. 24. Donovan C. 9. Herrera J. 15. Jauregui R. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 17. Ricketts J. 20. Willey B.	29. Castro J. (G) 10. de La Vega P. 17. Musovski D. 25. Ragen J. 16. Roldan A. 9. Ruidiaz R. 18. Vargas O.
Coaches
Briggs M.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Ross N. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Atencio J. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Morris J. ⚽, Baker-Whiting R. (A), Nouhou (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Viader D. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Herrera J. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
51', Parano C. 🟨,
56', Gurr J. 🟨,
62', Joao Paulo ↓, Roldan A. ↑,
63', Rothrock P. ↓, Ruidiaz R. ↑,
69', Phillips K. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
81', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
84', Wiedt S. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
89', Rusnak A. ↓, Ragen J. ↑,
90', Atencio J. ↓, Musovski D. ↑,
90+3', Parano C. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
90+5', Sanchez A. ↓, Willey B. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Sacramento Republic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Seattle is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Seattle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Seattle have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
03.07.24	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	0:0 ✺
15.06.24	Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots	2:3 ✺
08.06.24	Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLW
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
06.07.24	Seattle Sounders - New England Revolution	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Seattle Sounders - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas	3:2 ✺
19.06.24	Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
06.06.18	Sacramento Republic - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ET

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