Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)


	Sagamihara		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.48	Watch
	5.5	4	1.47
				Watch
	5.16	4.46	1.55	Watch
	5	4	1.53
	5.38	4.33	1.54	Watch
	5.4	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↓ (5.85)	4.18 ↓ (4.25)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
17.5%

Draw
22%

Shimizu S-Pulse
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21.6%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

21.6%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Sagamihara - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Inose K. (G) 54. Watahiki K. 28. Ogasawara K. 36. Nakashio D. 27. Nishiyama T. 18. Miki K. 6. Tokunaga Y. 8. Osako R. 25. Tanaka R. 22. Fukui K. 9. Rafael Furtado	16. Umeda T. (G) 70. Takagi S. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 41. Haneda K. 28. Yoshida Y. 6. Miyamoto K. 17. Yumiba M. 49. Kotake S. 11. Nakahara H. 8. Kozuka K. 29. Ahmedov A.
Substitutes
99. Ismaila O. 2. Kato D. 15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 19. Satori K. 80. Takai K. 16. Takano R. 17. Takeuchi T. 5. Tashiro M.	71. Inokoshi Y. (G) 22. Kenmmotsu T. 23. Kitagawa K. 5. Kitazume K. 19. Matsuzaki K. 21. Yajima S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Nakashio D. (Own goal),
44', Rafael Furtado 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Miki K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
46', Rafael Furtado ↓, Takai K. ↑,
46', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
61', Kozuka K. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
69', Osako R. ↓, Takeuchi T. ↑,
72', Kotake S. ↓, Yuji D. ↑,
72', Nakahara H. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
77', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Kato D. ↑,
80', Ahmedov A. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Kitazume K. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Yuji D. ⚽,
89', Watahiki K. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Takeuchi T. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sagamihara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
23.03.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Sagamihara - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Sagamihara - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sagamihara - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWLW
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Albirex Niigata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTTW

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