Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	SKY PerfecTV!


	Kawasaki Frontale		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	5.25
	1.41	4.6	5.25
	1.45	4.65	5.7
	1.44	4.68	6.26
				Watch
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.45	4.65	6.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	4.57 ↓ (5.31)	5.81 ↓ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
64.2%

Draw
20.1%

Sagamihara
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

17.2%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

16.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kawasaki Frontale - Sagamihara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 41. Ienaga A. 4. Jesiel 11. Kobayashi Y. 23. Marcinho 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 31. van Wermeskerken S. 14. Wakizaka Y. 6. Yamamoto Y.	46. Baumann N. (G) 97. Fujinuma T. 2. Kato D. 7. Kawano R. 15. Maeda T. 8. Osako R. 3. Pytlik K. 4. Shimakawa T. 14. Takagi A. 33. Tokida M. 6. Tokunaga Y.
Substitutes
21. Ando S. (G) 17. Ito T. 38. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 7. Kurumaya S. 16. Ozeki Y. 5. Sasaki A. 39. Tsuchiya K. 26. Yamauchi H.	22. Fukui K. 31. Inose K. (G) 23. Kato T. 11. Muto Y. 9. Rafael Furtado 24. Sugimoto R. 16. Takano R. 17. Takeuchi T. 5. Tashiro M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jesiel ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
65', Kawano R. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
65', Fujinuma T. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
65', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
65', Ienaga A. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
69', Osako R. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
81', Takagi A. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
81', Maeda T. ↓, Takeuchi T. ↑,
83', Marcinho ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
90+5', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
92', Rafael Furtado 🟨,
95', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
115', van Wermeskerken S. ↓, Tsuchiya K. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sagamihara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kawasaki is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
05.07.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Yokohama FC - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
12.07.25	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Gifu - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Sagamihara - Kochi United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWTT

Upcoming Matches