Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Saint-Étienne		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.33	5.25	8.5
	1.33	4.8	8	Watch
	1.35	5.22	9.48
	1.3	4.75	10
	1.35	5	8.6	Watch
	1.33	5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.46)	5 ↑ (4.25)	9 ↑ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
70.8%

Draw
18.8%

Niort
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Saint Étienne - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Niort will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Saint-Étienne has the most likely position - 8 (13.23%), project points - 52, currently - 36, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (46.87%), project points - 35, currently - 26, a good chance of relegated (92%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 29, small importance 18, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Saint-Étienne is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Niort is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Saint-Étienne is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
18.03.23	Le Havre - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Saint-Étienne - Amiens	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Pau	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTTWW
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
18.03.23	Niort - Laval	3:2 ✺
11.03.23	Pau - Niort	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Niort - Rodez	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Paris FC - Niort	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Le Havre - Niort	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.01.23	Niort - Saint-Étienne	0:1

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