Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.7	3.5
	1.92	3.6	3.5
	1.97	3.8	3.83
	1.93	3.8	3.55	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.91	3.68	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 (1.92)	3.64 ↓ (3.67)	3.61 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
48.6%

Draw
25.6%

Troyes
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

26.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Saint-Étienne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Saint Étienne - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Troyes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 39. Pedro K. 15. Lamba C. 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 20. Boakye A. 14. Kante A. 7. Cardona I. 29. Moueffek A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Stassin L.	40. Konate H. (G) 44. Titi Y. 6. Monfray A. (C) 38. Diawara S. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 5. Adeline M. 17. Mille A. 29. Diawara K. 20. Ripart R.
Substitutes
8. Appiah D. 6. Bernauer M. 17. Duffus J. 13. Ferreira J. 35. Gadegbeku L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I.	21. Bentayeb T. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 11. Detourbet M. 9. El Idrissy M. 2. Maronnier L. 3. Ouzenadji A. 26. Phliponeau A.
Coaches
Montanier P.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
35', Adeline M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', Boakye A. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Ifnaoui M. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
61', Lamba C. ↓, Bernauer M. ↑,
61', Moueffek A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
69', Konate H. 🟨,
72', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
79', Diop M. 🟨,
80', Cardona I. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
85', Ripart R. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
85', Diawara K. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
86', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
88', Larsonneur G. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
90+4', Adeline M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
90+4', Mille A. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 3, Detourbet M. ⚽, El Idrissy M. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 4.

In recent matches, Saint-Étienne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Troyes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Saint-Étienne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Broken Hand) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Troyes: Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Troyes: Bentayeb T. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16

Last Results with these Odds

Troyes - the odds 3.59 are the expected chance of winning is 25.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
18.04.26	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nancy - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTWT
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
18.04.26	Troyes - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Rodez - Troyes	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Montpellier - Troyes	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Troyes - Dunkerque	5:1 ✺
16.03.26	Annecy - Troyes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.11.25	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	2:3
12.02.24	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	5:0
30.09.23	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	0:1
French Ligue 1
18.03.22	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	1:1
21.11.21	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	0:1
22.04.18	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	2:1
Coupe De France
24.01.18	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	2:1 penalties

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