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Saint-Étienne vs Laval Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 21, 2026)

Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.7	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.15	6.1	Watch
	1.56	4.05	5.96
	1.44	4.63	6.56	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.55	3.96	6.42	Watch
	1.52	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	4.07 ↓ (4.08)	6.26 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
62.3%

Draw
22.8%

Laval
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

22.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Saint-Étienne (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Saint-Étienne (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Saint-Étienne (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 7 - 100%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 39. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 20. Boakye A. 14. Kante A. 7. Cardona I. 28. Miladinovic I. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Stassin L.	30. Samassa M. (G) 4. Ouaneh P. 3. Bianda W. 12. Commaret M. 14. Mandouki C. 22. Kouassi C. 6. Sanna S. (C) 8. Thomas T. 21. Aradj Y. 15. Mbayo D. 9. Camara M.
Substitutes
19. Annan E. 8. Appiah D. 17. Duffus J. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 29. Moueffek A. 18. Soumahoro A. 10. Tardieu F.	24. Bane S. 26. Benard W. 11. Dago T. 40. Droyaux L. (G) 10. Sellouki M. 23. Tavares Y. 18. Tchokounte M.
Coaches
Montanier P.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Thomas T. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Camara M. ⚽, Mbayo D. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Boakye A. ⚽, Stassin L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Aradj Y. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
62', Kante A. 🟨,
67', Miladinovic I. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
67', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
67', Mandouki C. ↓, Dago T. ↑,
71', Tardieu F. 🟨,
80', Kante A. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
88', Thomas T. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
89', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Annan E. ↑,
90+1', Boakye A. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Recent performances by Saint-Étienne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Laval is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Saint-Étienne is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury) Tardieu F. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Laval: Maddy E. (Inactive) Maggiotti J. (Inactive) Samb L. (Inactive) Vargas T. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	St Etienne	29	16	6	7	51:30	21	54
17	Laval	29	4	12	13	24:41	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
14.02.26	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Reims - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
13.02.26	Laval - Annecy	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Le Mans - Laval	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lyon - Laval	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Laval - Pau	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Amiens - Laval	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.08.25	Laval - Saint-Étienne	3:3
13.01.24	Saint-Étienne - Laval	0:0
23.10.23	Laval - Saint-Étienne	0:1
13.05.23	Laval - Saint-Étienne	2:1
10.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Laval	1:0

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