Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 9
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nice		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.32	5.75	8.5
	1.31	5.4	9.7	Watch
	1.33	5.92	9.52
	1.32	5.47	8.85	Watch
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.34	5.89	9.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)	5.56 ↑ (4.33)	9.22 ↑ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
72.5%

Draw
17.2%

Metz
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.8%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

20.6%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nice's performance.

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Nice - Metz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nice will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 4. Dante (C) 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. 8. Sanson M. 24. Vanhoutte C. 2. Abdi A. 10. Diop S. 11. Wahi E. 32. Boudache K.	1. Fischer J. (G) 70. Sarr B. (C) 38. Sane S. 15. Yegbe T. 2. Colin M. 33. Munongo B. 21. Stambouli B. 12. Toure A. 10. Hein G. 11. Kvilitaia G. 9. Abuashvili G.
Substitutes
99. Abdul Samed S. 28. Bah J. 6. Boudaoui H. 25. Cho M. 31. Dupe M. (G) 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T. 55. Ndayishimiye Y.	97. Ballo-Toure F. 30. Diallo H. 5. Gbamin J. 29. Guerti I. 16. Jean-Baptiste R. (G) 39. Kouao K. 4. Mboula U. 35. Pandore J. 8. Traore B.
Coaches
Puel C.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Wahi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boudache K. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
46', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
65', Stambouli B. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
65', Munongo B. ↓, Gbamin J. ↑,
72', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
73', Traore B. 🟨,
75', Peprah K. 🟨,
75', Abuashvili G. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
78', Clauss J. ↓, Kevin ↑,
85', Toure A. ↓, Mboula U. ↑,
87', Sanson M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Metz is Relegated to Ligue 2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.

Nice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nice is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Injury) Bard M. (Yellow Cards) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Deminguet J. (Ankle Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbala N. (Knee Injury) Michal L. (Inactive) Sy P. (Ankle Injury) Tsitaishvili G. (Eye injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Boudaoui H. (Muscle Injury) Cho M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nice won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Auxerre - Nice	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.04.26	Lille - Nice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LTTWT
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Metz - Lorient	0:4 ✺
02.05.26	Metz - Monaco	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Le Havre - Metz	4:4 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Metz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Metz - Nice	2:1
27.01.24	Nice - Metz	1:0
07.10.23	Metz - Nice	0:1
23.01.22	Metz - Nice	0:2
27.11.21	Nice - Metz	0:1
21.02.21	Nice - Metz	1:2
09.01.21	Metz - Nice	1:1

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