Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 29

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
World	Onefootball


	Salernitana		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	2.92	2.58	Watch
	2.85	2.94	2.77
	2.78	2.76	2.73	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.5
	2.72	2.73	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.62)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	2.64 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
33.1%

Draw
32.4%

Catania
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Salernitana - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Catania will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 7. Achik I. 23. Arena M. 2. Berra F. 5. Capomaggio G. 4. Gyabuaa M. 32. Lescano F. 28. Longobardi G. 26. Matino E. 25. Molina J. I. 14. Villa L.	57. Dini A. (G) 6. Allegretto A. 24. Casasola T. 99. D'Ausilio M. 47. Di Noia G. 20. Donnarumma D. 7. Jimenez K. 5. Miceli M. 73. Pieraccini S. 16. Quaini A. 9. Rolfini A.
Substitutes
33. Anastasio A. 11. Antonucci M. 35. Cabianca E. 41. Cevers L. (G) 6. de Boer K. 10. Ferrari F. 20. Ferraris A. 18. Golemic V. 24. Quirini E. 29. Tascone M.	1. Bethers K. (G) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cargnelutti R. 18. Caturano S. 3. Celli A. 30. Corbari A. 14. Di Tacchio F. 28. Doni S. 68. Ierardi M. 23. Lunetta G. 13. Ponsi F. 19. Raimo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Arena M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Achik I. ↓, Quirini E. ↑,
46', Longobardi G. ↓, Anastasio A. ↑,
63', Rolfini A. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
63', Jimenez K. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
77', Molina J. I. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
81', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
85', Miceli M. 🟨,
89', Quaini A. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
89', Di Noia G. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Salernitana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salernitana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Catania - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.26	Salernitana - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cavese - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Salernitana - Casarano	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTWLT
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.26	Catania - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Catania - Trapani	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Siracusa - Catania	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sorrento - Catania	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Catania - Salernitana	2:0

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