The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salernitana 29.1%
Draw 28.6%
Benevento 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
28.7%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.6%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Salernitana - Benevento Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Benevento will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 33. Anastasio A. 18. Golemic V. 2. Berra F. 24. Quirini E. 29. Tascone M. 45. Di Vico R. 21. Carriero G. 14. Villa L. 7. Achik I. 32. Lescano F.
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 8. Maita M. (C) 4. Prisco A. 11. Lamesta D. 93. Tumminello M. 99. Della Morte M. 9. Salvemini F.
Substitutes
11. Antonucci M. 23. Arena M. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 6. de Boer K. 10. Ferrari F. 20. Ferraris A. 28. Longobardi G. 26. Matino E. 25. Molina J. I.
19. Borghini D. 7. Carfora L. 13. Celia R. 28. Del Gaudio M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 5. Giugliano M. 56. Kouan C. 32. Mignani G. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Carriero G. 🟨,
37', Prisco A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Berra F. ↓, Matino E. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Salvemini F. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Tascone M. 🟨,
73', Carriero G. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
77', Di Vico R. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
79', Lamesta D. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
90+10', Achik I. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 0.
In recent matches, Salernitana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Benevento is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Benevento might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Salernitana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).