Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 30

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	Onefootball


	Benevento		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.88	3.75	Watch
	2.11	2.81	4.26
	2.22	2.72	3.72	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.6
	2.04	3.13	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.31)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)	3.84 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benevento
43.8%

Draw
32.2%

Catania
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Benevento - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 8. Maita M. (C) 4. Prisco A. 11. Lamesta D. 93. Tumminello M. 99. Della Morte M. 9. Salvemini F.	57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 5. Miceli M. 73. Pieraccini S. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. (C) 47. Di Noia G. 20. Donnarumma D. 7. Jimenez K. 99. D'Ausilio M. 23. Lunetta G.
Substitutes
19. Borghini D. 33. Caldirola L. 7. Carfora L. 13. Celia R. 22. Esposito M. (G) 56. Kouan C. 10. Manconi J. 32. Mignani G. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A.	6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cargnelutti R. 18. Caturano S. 3. Celli A. 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 14. Di Tacchio F. 28. Doni S. 13. Ponsi F. 19. Raimo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Lunetta G. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Lamesta D. ⚽,
33', Della Morte M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Di Noia G. 🟨,
57', Casasola T. 🟨,
58', Quaini A. 🟨,
62', Di Noia G. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
67', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
68', Jimenez K. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
71', Della Morte M. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
71', Pierozzi E. 🟨,
79', Tumminello M. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
79', Lamesta D. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
81', Pieraccini S. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
90', Ceresoli A. ↓, Borghini D. ↑,
90', Prisco A. ↓, Talia A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 1.

Benevento has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Catania is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benevento will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Potenza - Benevento	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Altamura - Benevento	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Benevento - Latina	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Trapani - Benevento	0:5 ✺
06.02.26	Benevento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Salernitana - Catania	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Catania - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Catania - Trapani	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Siracusa - Catania	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Catania - Benevento	1:0
05.01.25	Benevento - Catania	3:2
02.09.24	Catania - Benevento	1:0
27.04.24	Catania - Benevento	1:0
23.12.23	Benevento - Catania	0:4
17.04.16	Benevento - Catania	1:0
05.12.15	Catania - Benevento	1:3

Upcoming Matches