Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.55	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.21	6.09
	1.57	4.14	5.79	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.4
	1.59	4.25	5.3	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)	4.1 ↑ (3.77)	5.48 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
59.8%

Draw
23%

Salernitana
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sassuolo's performance.

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Sassuolo - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 19. Romagna F. 26. Odenthal C. 15. Pieragnolo E. 14. Obiang P. 11. Boloca D. 10. Berardi D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 77. Pierini N. 9. Mulattieri S.	1. Fiorillo V. (G) 29. Ghiglione P. 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. 15. Bronn D. 70. Tello A. 73. Amatucci L. 21. Soriano R. 44. Jaroszynski P. 20. Wlodarczyk S. 31. Verde D.
Substitutes
29. Caligara F. 40. Iannoni E. 45. Lauriente A. 35. Lipani L. 44. Miranda K. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 17. Paz Y. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C.	24. Braaf J. 12. Corriere F. (G) 2. Gentile D. 8. Hrustic A. 11. Kallon Y. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 77. Sfait A. 9. Simy 4. Velthuis T.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Colantuono S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bronn D. 🟨,
41', Tello A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
54', Bronn D. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
54', Tello A. ↓, Braaf J. ↑,
62', Obiang P. ↓, Lauriente A. ↑,
62', Mulattieri S. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Pierini N. ⚽, Berardi D. (A),
73', Verde D. ↓, Simy ↑,
73', Soriano R. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
80', Pieragnolo E. ↓, Paz Y. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Lauriente A. ⚽, Berardi D. (A),
85', Berardi D. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
85', Pierini N. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
87', Amatucci L. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Moro L. (Pen),
90+6', 4 - 0, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 1.

Sassuolo in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Salernitana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Ghion A. (Knock)

There will not play in Salernitana: Tongya F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Reine-Adelaide J. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sassuolo to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
09.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sassuolo - Mantova	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Brescia - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Salernitana - Cesena	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cremonese - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Salernitana - Spezia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
05.04.24	Salernitana - Sassuolo	2:2
10.11.23	Sassuolo - Salernitana	2:2
22.04.23	Salernitana - Sassuolo	3:0
02.10.22	Sassuolo - Salernitana	5:0
12.03.22	Salernitana - Sassuolo	2:2
26.09.21	Sassuolo - Salernitana	1:0

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