Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Bari		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.5
	2.98	2.98	2.45	Watch
	3.13	3	2.65
	2.98	3.03	2.51	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	3.02	2.88	2.57	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.75)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
31.3%

Draw
31.2%

Carrarese
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Bari - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 25. Pucino R. (C) 26. Odenthal C. 51. Cistana A. 24. Dickmann L. 18. Maggiore G. 80. Artioli F. 93. Dorval M. 19. Esteves T. 17. Rao E. 11. Moncini G.	1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. (C) 72. Zanon S. 77. Parlanti G. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 73. Rouhi J. 9. Abiuso F. 21. Rubino T.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 27. Braunoder M. 20. Cavuoti N. 90. Cuni M. 9. Gytkjaer C. 30. Mane M. 43. Nikolaou D. 8. Pagano R. 28. Piscopo K. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 37. Stabile G. 66. Traore D.	7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 28. Di Stefano F. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 3. Imperiale M. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Longo M.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Illanes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Illanes J. ↓, Imperiale M. ↑,
46', Rubino T. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Rouhi J. ⚽,
49', Zanon S. 🟨,
56', Rouhi J. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
61', Dickmann L. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
68', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
70', Esteves T. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
70', Artioli F. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Abiuso F. ⚽, Hasa L. (A),
75', Pucino R. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
75', Rao E. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Bouah D. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
83', Zuelli E. ↓, Lordkipanidze D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Bari: Burgio R. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) De Pieri G. (Yellow Cards) Piscopo K. (Inactive) Sibilli G. (Suspended)

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive) Schiavi N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bari: Verreth M. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
18.03.26	Frosinone - Bari	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bari - Reggiana	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pescara - Bari	4:0 ✺
04.03.26	Bari - Empoli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Sampdoria - Bari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLWW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.03.26	Carrarese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Carrarese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Mantova - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Carrarese - Bari	1:0
30.03.25	Carrarese - Bari	2:1
29.10.24	Bari - Carrarese	0:0
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
17.07.20	Bari - Carrarese	2:1 ET

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