Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 18

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Ring
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Verona		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4
	1.92	3.45	4.1	Watch
	1.94	3.6	4.42
	1.93	3.53	4.43
	1.83	3.4	4.2
	1.9	3.5	4.3	Watch
	1.92	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	4.23 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
50.1%

Draw
27.3%

Salernitana
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	12.1%	13.8%

Verona - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 43 - 74.1%). Salernitana will win (votes: 8 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 62.8% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 27. Dawidowicz P. (C) 6. Hien I. 3. Doig J. 90. Folorunsho M. 18. Hongla M. 26. Ngonge C. 31. Suslov T. 8. Lazovic D. 11. Djuric M.	56. Costil B. (G) 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Fazio F. (C) 98. Pirola L. 3. Bradaric D. 18. Coulibaly L. 25. Maggiore G. 87. Candreva A. 20. Kastanos G. 33. Tchaouna L. 9. Simy
Substitutes
2. Amione B. 22. Berardi A. (G) 99. Bonazzoli F. 32. Cabal J. D. 37. Charlys 42. Coppola D. 13. Cruz J. M. 5. Faraoni D. 9. Henry T. 17. Kallon Y. 23. Magnani G. 77. Mboula J. 34. Perilli S. (G) 25. Serdar S. 24. Terracciano F.	62. Allocca P. (G) 8. Bohinen E. 11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 23. Gyomber N. 22. Ikwuemesi C. 21. Jovane 99. Legowski M. 66. Lovato M. 7. Martegani A. 65. Salvati G. (G) 6. Sambia J.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Inzaghi F.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Verona won 2.

Recent matches Verona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Verona is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Verona won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
23.12.23	Verona - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Fiorentina - Verona	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Verona - Lazio	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Udinese - Verona	3:3 ✺
27.11.23	Verona - Lecce	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTTT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
22.12.23	Salernitana - Milan	2:2 ✺
18.12.23	Atalanta - Salernitana	4:1 ✺
10.12.23	Salernitana - Bologna	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Fiorentina - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Salernitana - Lazio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.02.23	Verona - Salernitana	1:0
09.10.22	Salernitana - Verona	2:1
09.01.22	Verona - Salernitana	1:2
22.09.21	Salernitana - Verona	2:2
Italian Serie B
22.02.19	Verona - Salernitana	1:0
29.09.18	Salernitana - Verona	1:0
29.01.17	Verona - Salernitana	2:0

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