Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.2	3	3.5
	2.23	3.25	3.78
	2.18	3.19	3.59	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.15	3.44	3.38	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
43.5%

Draw
29.4%

Spezia
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Sassuolo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Sassuolo - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 17. Paz Y. 80. Muharemovic T. 19. Romagna F. (C) 3. Doig J. 40. Iannoni E. 11. Boloca D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 77. Pierini N. 9. Mulattieri S. 45. Lauriente A.	66. Gori S. (G) 37. Mateju A. 2. Wisniewski P. 77. Bertola N. 32. Vignali L. (C) 29. Cassata F. 5. Esposito Sa. 25. Bandinelli F. 13. Reca A. 20. Di Serio G. 9. Esposito F.
Substitutes
28. Antiste J. 25. D'Andrea L. 8. Ghion A. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 14. Obiang P. 26. Odenthal C. 15. Pieragnolo E. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 23. Toljan J. 7. Volpato C.	44. Benvenuto M. 36. Candelari P. 17. Colak A. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 7. Elia S. 11. Falcinelli D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 55. Hristov P. 12. Mascardi D. (G) 8. Nagy A. 4. Salvador F. 27. Soleri E.
Coaches
Grosso F.	D'Angelo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Paz Y. 🟨,
31', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paz Y. ↓, Toljan J. ↑,
58', Mulattieri S. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
59', Pierini N. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
60', Esposito F. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
60', Cassata F. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
64', Doig J. 🟨,
68', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
71', Di Serio G. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
71', Esposito Sa. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
80', Reca A. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
82', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Sassuolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sassuolo have a series of guest games.

Sassuolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Carrarese - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:4 ✺
27.08.24	Bari - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
22.09.24	Spezia - Carrarese	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Cremonese - Spezia	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Spezia - Cesena	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Spezia - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:0 penalties
Club Friendly
23.07.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	2:3
Italian Serie A
17.03.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:0
27.08.22	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:2
18.03.22	Sassuolo - Spezia	4:1
05.12.21	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:2
06.02.21	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:2

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