Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Padova		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.65	4.9
	1.6	3.45	5
	1.57	3.84	6.24
	1.57	3.6	6
	1.53	3.82	6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	3.65 ↑ (3.57)	5.56 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
58.6%

Draw
25%

Vis Pesaro
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

16.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Padova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vis Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Padova - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Padova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Padova	3:1 ✺
15.11.20	Padova - Matelica	3:0 ✺
11.11.20	Perugia - Padova	3:0 ✺
08.11.20	Padova - Virtus Verona	2:0 ✺
02.11.20	Cesena - Padova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	3:2 ✺
14.11.20	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
11.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Cesena	0:2 ✺
08.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.20	Padova - Vis Pesaro	4:0
22.09.19	Vis Pesaro - Padova	0:2

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