Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 25

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	2.75	3.4
	2.18	2.89	4.35
	2.1	2.75	3.5
	2.2	2.83	4
	2.2	2.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.52)	2.81 ↓ (2.97)	3.77 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
42.3%

Draw
33.1%

Guarani
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	40%	26.7%

Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Braga (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 4. Gustavo Henrique 3. Gabriel Furtado 6. Alyson Neves 21. Neto Paraiba 8. Ferreira (C) 7. Robinho 23. Ytalo 11. Pimentinha 18. Henrique	1. Pegorari (C) 14. Ivan Alvarino 34. Walber 3. Lucao 6. Mayk 5. Matheus Barbosa 21. Lucas Araujo 27. Bruninho 17. Bruno Jose 9. Bruno Mendes 19. Joao Victor
Substitutes
12. Carlos Eduardo (G) 15. Eloir 25. Emerson Carioca 9. Getterson 14. Leonan 10. Marcinho 19. Matheus Martins 20. Mauricio Maranhao 5. Mikael 16. Para 17. Samuel Santos 22. Thiaguinho	28. Bernardo 36. Caique 11. Derek 31. Douglas Borges (G) 29. Isaque 20. Lucas Silva 7. Pablo Thomaz 78. Regis 16. Titi 23. Wenderson 30. Yan
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Louzer U.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Jhony Douglas (Injury) Para (Injury) Rafael Jansen (Red Card)

There are questionable in Sampaio Corrêa: Fabio Aguiar (Injury) Ferreira (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.23	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Mirassol - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
01.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TTTTT
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
18.08.23	Guarani - Sport Recife	3:1 ✺
13.08.23	Guarani - Juventude	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Ituano - Guarani	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Guarani - Ceará	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Avaí - Guarani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.05.23	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
03.09.22	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0
28.05.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani	2:1
28.10.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani	0:1
20.07.21	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0

Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide