Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 30 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)
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 |
|
 |
|
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Sampaio Corrêa FE |
|
Velo Clube |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.66 |
2.92 |
2.83 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.65 |
2.92 |
 Watch |
 |
2.5 |
2.63 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.59 |
2.74 |
2.76 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.95 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.3) |
2.78 ↓
(2.95) |
2.85 ↓
(2.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa FE
35.5% | Draw
32.7% | Velo Clube
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Sampaio Corrêa FE - Velo Clube Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Elias ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 81', 🟥,
Preview
Recent form of Sampaio Corrêa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Velo Clube has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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