Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Chapecoense		Guarani

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.3	2.85	3.5
	2.34	2.88	3.78
	2.31	2.8	3.64	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.27	2.93	3.53
	2.3	2.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
40.9%

Draw
32.5%

Guarani
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Chapecoense - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 18. Schramm K. 3. Eduardo Doma 32. Jhonnathan 11. Marcelinho 35. Foguinho 99. Rafael Carvalheira 8. Marlone 7. Marcinho 9. Pedro Perotti 77. Neilton	89. Vladimir (G) 28. Pacheco 3. Leo Santos 23. Douglas Bacelar 17. Jefferson 33. Gabriel Bispo 18. Matheus Bueno 8. Marlon Douglas 19. Joao Victor 30. Airton 99. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
5. Auremir 10. Giovanni Augusto 37. Italo 4. Joao Paulo 57. JP Galvao 12. Leo Vieira (G) 98. Mailton 6. Mancha 79. Marcelinho 89. Mario Sergio 71. Rafinha Rech 30. Thomas Bedinelli	5. Anderson Leite 31. Douglas Borges (G) 2. Heitor 12. Lucas Adell 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Luccas Paraizo 77. Marlon Maranhao 20. Reinaldo 15. Rene
Coaches
Tcheco	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Marlon Douglas ⚽,
32', Foguinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jhonnathan ↓, Giovanni Augusto ↑,
46', Marcinho ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
49', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
55', 0 - 3, Caio Dantas ⚽,
62', Rafael Carvalheira 🟨,
66', Pedro Perotti ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
66', Marlone ↓, Thomas Bedinelli ↑,
69', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
73', Airton ↓, Heitor ↑,
74', Joao Victor ↓, Marlon Maranhao ↑,
77', 0 - 4, Caio Dantas ⚽,
79', Caio Dantas ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
80', Matheus Bueno ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Lucas Araujo ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Chapecoense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guarani is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chapecoense will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo (Red Card) Romulo (Injury) Ronaldo Mendes (Injury)

There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes (Injury)

There are questionable in Guarani: Camacho (Injury) Marcio Silva (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
10.08.24	Ituano - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
05.08.24	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Coritiba - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
23.07.24	Chapecoense - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
18.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
12.08.24	Guarani - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Ceará - Guarani	3:1 ✺
28.07.24	Guarani - Brusque	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Amazonas - Guarani	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Guarani - Goiás	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.04.24	Guarani - Chapecoense	0:1
05.09.23	Chapecoense - Guarani	0:1
24.05.23	Guarani - Chapecoense	3:3
06.11.22	Guarani - Chapecoense	1:0
20.07.22	Chapecoense - Guarani	0:0

Upcoming Matches