The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Paso Locomotive 57.4%
Draw 22.9%
Orange County SC 19.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.7%
20.2%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
19.6%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Romero A. (G) 21. Twumasi K. 8. Sainte C. 93. Tony Alfaro 12. Ruiz R. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. 11. Farkarlun B. 19. Mendez A. 10. Moreno A. 13. Avila R.
1. Rando A. (G) 21. War M. 4. Benalcazar N. 15. Espy T. 23. Doghman R. (C) 19. Partida K. 18. Palomino M. 11. MacKinnon L. 8. Sylla O. 10. Hegardt C. 12. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
33. Alphin R. (G) 2. Cardona N. 15. Dollenmayer N. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 7. Jones Z. 18. Quezada A. 14. Rubin R.
20. Bunbury M. 14. Cambridge B. 17. Johnson J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 22. Marinch A. 28. O'Brien F. 25. Solis E. 7. Wathuta S.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.
Crettenand D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
17', Sylla O. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Moreno A. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
33', Romero A. 🟨,
43', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Farkarlun B. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Calvillo E. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
46', Tony Alfaro ↓, Dollenmayer N. ↑,
48', Ciotta N. ↓, O'Brien F. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Hegardt C. ⚽, Palomino M. (A),
54', Mendez A. 🟨,
63', Avila R. ↓, Jones Z. ↑,
68', Partida K. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
70', Farkarlun B. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
83', Mendez A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
86', Doghman R. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
90+3', Jones Z. 🟨,
Preview
El Paso is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
El Paso is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Orange County SC has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
El Paso could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Orange County SC has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, El Paso is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, El Paso has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:16 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Paso against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
North Central America
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
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Romero A. (G) 
Twumasi K. 
Sainte C. 
Calvillo E. 
Farkarlun B. 
War M. 
Doghman R. (C) 
MacKinnon L. 
Sylla O. 
Bazini Y. 
Cardona N. 
Dollenmayer N. 
Rubin R. 
Bunbury M. 
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