The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 41.2%
Draw 22.5%
Real Santa Cruz 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
22.7%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
15.1%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio Bulo Bulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio Bulo Bulo's form might have worsened.
Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
10%
70%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Real Santa Cruz will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Real Santa Cruz: 49.9% – 90.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Vasquez E. (G) 7. Mena J. 19. De Lima M. 21. Meza P. 15. Villarroel S. 22. Velasco P. 18. Jaldin L. 27. Justiniano C. 77. De Moura A. 28. Rodriguez J. 35. Vargas J.
36. Ledezma O. (G) 26. Barrios M. 14. Ibanez J. 4. Lopez B. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 6. Ovando M. 23. Pozo S. 31. Cardenas I. 77. Castillo J. 7. Moreno B. 32. Soliz M.
Substitutes
45. Berrios I. 44. Cesari J. 32. Diaz W. 33. Gutierrez K. 6. Mercado Diego 30. Prieto J. 12. Vera J. (G) 14. Virreira J. 29. Yucra C.
16. Ardaya L. 39. Malgor G. 37. Mendoza G. 11. Navia A. 19. Ribera O. 45. Rios J. (G) 30. Suarez R.
Coaches
Eguez L.
Ibanez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Lopez B. 🟨,
20', Vargas J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, De Moura A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
45+2', Jaldin L. 🟨,
45+8', 1 - 1, Moreno B. (Pen),
45+8', Meza P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Barrios M. ↓, Ribera O. ↑,
53', Justiniano C. 🟨,
54', Pozo S. 🟨,
64', Justiniano C. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Vaca Hurtado E. ⚽, Ovando M. (A),
72', 1 - 3, Vaca Hurtado E. ⚽,
75', Rodriguez J. ↓, Mercado Diego ↑,
75', Meza P. ↓, Virreira J. ↑,
84', De Moura A. ↓, Diaz W. ↑,
84', Vargas J. ↓, Yucra C. ↑,
87', Castillo J. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
87', Cardenas I. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,
88', Villarroel S. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, Ledezma O. (Own goal),
90+7', Moreno B. ↓, Navia A. ↑,
90+7', Moreno B. 🟨,
90+8', Mercado Diego 🟨,
90+9', Vaca Hurtado E. ↓, Ardaya L. ↑,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16).
Recent matches SA Bulo Bulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real Santa Cruz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Real Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match SA Bulo Bulo is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches SA Bulo Bulo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams SA Bulo Bulo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
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Vasquez E. (G) 
Meza P. 
De Moura A. 
Lopez B. 
Moreno B. 
