Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	San Carlos		Carmelita

	1	X	2
	3.72	4.7	1.71	Watch
	4.2	4.15	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.08)	4.43 ↓ (4.47)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Carlos
23.4%

Draw
20.9%

Carmelita
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

20.7%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

20.2%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

San Carlos - Carmelita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Camacho L. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Escoe M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
67', 1 - 3, Camacho L. ⚽,
76', 🟥,
77', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 6).

San Carlos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carmelita is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carmelita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carmelita is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Carlos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Carlos FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
22.03.25	Cofutpa - San Carlos	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	San Carlos - Inter San Carlos	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Sarchi - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	San Carlos - Jicaral	2:5 ✺
05.03.25	Quepos - San Carlos	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.3 WLTLL
- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
28.03.25	Carmelita - Cofutpa	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Inter San Carlos - Carmelita	1:0 ✺
19.03.25	Carmelita - Sarchi	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Jicaral - Carmelita	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Carmelita - Quepos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.02.25	Carmelita - San Carlos	1:1
18.10.24	Carmelita - San Carlos	1:3

San Carlos - Carmelita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide